BTC’s price action is looking grim, but traders hope that a bounce off the $42,000 support will complete a bullish technical analysis pattern and trigger a rally in Bitcoin and altcoins.
Bitcoin (BTC) has given back some of its recent gains, but on-chain data resource Ecoinometrics said that whales are accumulating because they believe the price is attractive from a long-term perspective.
On the downside, analyst Willy Woo believes that $33,000 is a strong bottom for Bitcoin. Popular Twitter trader Credible Crypto citing data from PlanC said that the odds of Bitcoin declining below $30,000 are poor.
Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360
Fidelity Digital Assets Head of Research Chris Kuiper believes that Bitcoin’s downside risk could be minimal when compared to other digital assets, but it could rally substantially if it manages to replace gold as a store of value.
Could Bitcoin and altcoins stage a recovery after the recent pullback? Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may attract investor attention in the short term.
Bitcoin turned down from the overhead resistance at $45,456 but a minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to break below the 20-day exponential moving average ($41,383).
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will try to propel the BTC/USDT pair above $45,456. A close above this level will complete a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern.
The pair could then rally to $52,088 where the bears are likely to mount a strong challenge. If bulls thrust the price above this level, the pair could start its northward march toward the pattern target at $56,904.
This positive view will be negated if the price breaks and sustains below $39,600. Such a move could open the doors for a possible drop to $36,250.
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The pair turned down from $45,456 and broke below the moving averages. The bulls are currently attempting to defend the minor support at $41,688.88 but are facing stiff resistance at the moving averages.
If the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $41,688.88, the pair could slide to $39,600. If the price rebounds off this level, then the pair could remain range-bound between $39,600 and $45,456 for a few days.
On the upside, a break and close above the moving averages will be the first indication that bulls have a slight edge. The pair could then rise to $43,920 and later to $45,456.
Ripple (XRP) broke and closed above the moving averages on Feb. 7, indicating that the downtrend could be coming to an end. The bears tried to pull the price back below the breakout level at $0.75 but the bulls thwarted their attempt.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price rebounded off $0.75 and the bulls are trying to push the XRP/USDT pair toward the overhead resistance at $1. A break and close above this resistance could open the doors for a possible rally to $1.41.
The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive zone, indicating that buyers have the upper hand. This positive view will invalidate on a break and close below $0.75. Such a move will indicate that bears continue to sell on rallies.
XRP/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows that the bulls and the bears are battling it out near the $0.82 mark. The bulls pushed the price above this level but the bears stalled the rally at $0.85 and have pulled the pair back below $0.82.
A minor positive is that bulls are buying the dips to the 50-SMA. If the price rebounds off this support, the bulls will try to drive the pair above $0.85 and challenge the resistance at $0.91. Conversely, a break and close below the 50-SMA could pull the pair to $0.75. A break and close below this support could indicate the start of a deeper correction.
Crypto.com’s native coin (CRO) broke above the 50-day SMA ($0.47) on Feb. 7, suggesting that the corrective phase could be over. The price rallied to $0.54 on Feb. 10 where the bears are mounting a strong defense.
CRO/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the buyers have a slight edge. If the current rebound off the moving averages sustains, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. The bulls will then attempt to push the price above $0.54 and resume the uptrend.
If they can pull it off, the CRO/USDT pair could rise to $0.60 and then to $0.68. Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to $0.39.
CRO/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows the pair is rising inside an ascending channel pattern. The bulls tried to push the price above the channel but the bears had other plans. They pulled the price back into the channel, trapping the aggressive bulls.
The buyers are attempting to defend the 50-SMA. If the price sustains above the 20-EMA, the bulls will again try to push the pair above the resistance line of the channel. This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down and plummets below the support line of the channel.
FTX Token (FTT) has been volatile inside a broadening formation. The failure of the buyers to propel the price above the resistance line indicates that bears are selling the rallies to this level.
FTT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
However, a minor positive is that bulls are buying the dips in the zone between the 20-day EMA ($43.85) and the 50-day SMA ($41.50). If the price rebounds off the current level, the buyers will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle.
If they manage to do that, the FTT/USDT pair could start a new uptrend. The pair could then rally to $53.50 where the bears may again pose a strong challenge but if this resistance is crossed, the rally could extend to $65.
This bullish view will invalidate if the price turns down and plummets below the 50-day SMA. That will indicate that the pair could extend its stay inside the broadening pattern for a few more days.
FTT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The failure of the bulls to push the price above the $48 to $50 overhead resistance zone may have attracted profit-booking from short-term traders. The pair has broken below both moving averages and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels at $41.99.
If the price rises from the current level or $41.99, it will suggest that buyers are accumulating on dips. The bulls will then again try to push the price above the 50-SMA. If they succeed, the pair could challenge the overhead resistance.
On the downside, a break and close below $41.99 could signal the start of a deeper correction to the 50% retracement level at $39.95.
Theta Network (THETA) broke and closed above the downtrend line on Feb.10, indicating that the downtrend could be coming to an end. Generally, a rally above a stiff resistance tends to turn back and retest the breakout level.
THETA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If bulls succeed in flipping the breakout level into support, it suggests a change in sentiment from sell on rallies to buy on dips. The 20-day EMA ($3.49) has started to turn up and the RSI is in the positive territory, suggesting advantage to buyers.
If the price rebounds off the downtrend line, the bulls will attempt to start a new uptrend. A break and close above $4.39 could attract further buying and the THETA/USDT pair could rise toward $6.
This bullish view will invalidate if the price turns down from the current level and plummets below the downtrend line. Such a move will suggest that the break above the downtrend line could have been a bull trap.
THETA/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The pair has been rising inside an ascending channel pattern. The bulls tried to push the price above the resistance line of the channel but the bears did not relent. This may have led to profit-booking by the short-term bears, pulling the price toward the support line.
The price has bounced off the support line on three previous occasions hence, the bulls will again try to defend it. If the price rebounds off the level and rises above the downtrend line, it will signal the resumption of the uptrend.
Alternatively, a break and close below the support line of the channel could signal a deeper correction to $3.20.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.